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Livingston logo
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Dundee United

Livingston
1 - 2
Dundee Utd

Guthrie (78')
Obileye (59'), Montano (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fletcher (15'), Harkes (34')
Levitt (32'), McGrath (82'), (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Livingston and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 5-0 Livingston
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-9 Celtic
Sunday, August 28 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 2-0 Dundee United

Dundee United head into Wednesday on a dire run and will be looking to restore some pride following their heavy defeat to Celtic. However, they take a trip to the bogey Almondvale Stadium, where they are winless in their last six visits. We are backing Livingston to bounce back from their slump and come out on top in this one, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawDundee United
47.86% (0.194 0.19) 25.88% (-0.306 -0.31) 26.26% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.98 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (1.235 1.24)53.24% (-1.238 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (1.039 1.04)74.8% (-1.042 -1.04)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (0.60899999999999 0.61)22.25% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (0.908 0.91)55.69% (-0.911 -0.91)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (0.759 0.76)35.28% (-0.762 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (0.784 0.78)72.03% (-0.788 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 47.85%
    Dundee United 26.26%
    Draw 25.88%
LivingstonDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 26.26%

How you voted: Livingston vs Dundee Utd

Livingston
55.6%
Draw
0.0%
Dundee United
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
0-1
Livingston

McMann (57'), Watt (67')
Montano (49')
Devlin (47'), George (88'), Bitsindou (90+5')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
0-1
Livingston

Glass (17'), Fuchs (81'), Edwards (81')
Obileye (66' pen.)
McMillan (45'), Devlin (58'), Holt (79')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Livingston
1-1
Dundee Utd
Clark (37' og.)
Fitzwater (73')
Williamson (45+1')
Pawlett (43')
Niskanen (32'), Harkes (52'), Mulgrew (90+2'), McMann (90+3')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
3-0
Livingston
Sporle (1'), McNeil (35', 83')
Butcher (31'), Fuchs (67')
Pawlett (31')

Sibbald (34')
Fitzwater (61')
rhs 2.0
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