Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
40.39% ( 0.57) | 27.29% ( -0.46) | 32.32% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.99% ( 1.7) | 56.01% ( -1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( 1.36) | 77.09% ( -1.36) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( 1.12) | 27.19% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( 1.44) | 62.6% ( -1.44) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% ( 0.8) | 32.15% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% ( 0.9) | 68.64% ( -0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |