Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
40.39% ( 0.57) | 27.29% ( -0.46) | 32.32% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.99% ( 1.7) | 56.01% ( -1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( 1.36) | 77.09% ( -1.36) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( 1.12) | 27.19% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( 1.44) | 62.6% ( -1.44) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% ( 0.8) | 32.15% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% ( 0.9) | 68.64% ( -0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |