Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Hibernian |
31.62% ( -0.02) | 23.91% ( 0.02) | 44.47% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.28% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.08) | 41.8% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.09) | 64.2% ( 0.09) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( -0.05) | 25.55% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( -0.07) | 60.41% ( 0.08) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( -0.03) | 19.04% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.39% ( -0.05) | 50.62% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Hibernian |
2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |