Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee |
66.83% (![]() | 18.53% (![]() | 14.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.08% (![]() | 36.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.9% (![]() | 59.1% (![]() |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.78% (![]() | 10.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.48% (![]() | 33.52% (![]() |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% (![]() | 37.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% (![]() | 74.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee |
2-0 @ 10.06% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.82% | 1-1 @ 8.57% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 4.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |