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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Dundee logo

Aberdeen
4 - 1
Dundee

Palaversa (53'), Keskinen (57'), Besuijen (72'), Nisbet (90+7')
Devlin (35'), Rubezic (41'), Palaversa (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Murray (70')
Astley (11'), Docherty (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee 3-2 Kilmarnock
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 3-1 Dundee

Aberdeen will be aiming to record a statement victory following their heavy defeat to Celtic last time out, and with Dundee looking shaky in recent matches, we believe the hosts will comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawDundee
66.83% (0.349 0.35) 18.53% (-0.24 -0.24) 14.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.596 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.909 0.91)36.92% (-0.912 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (0.978 0.98)59.1% (-0.981 -0.98)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78% (0.337 0.34)10.22% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.48% (0.77 0.77)33.52% (-0.773 -0.77)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (0.43 0.43)37.88% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.418 0.42)74.65% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 66.82%
    Dundee 14.64%
    Draw 18.53%
AberdeenDrawDundee
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.37% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.24% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.082 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.075 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.93% (0.076 0.08)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 66.82%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.155 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.53%
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.76% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.64%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Dundee

Aberdeen
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Dundee
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
1-2
Aberdeen
Murray (45' pen.)
Nisbet (15'), Keskinen (32')
Molloy (43'), Keskinen (51'), Mitov (90+2')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aberdeen
0-0
Dundee
Shinnie (39')
Shinnie (90+6')
Portales (3'), Docherty (4'), Costelloe (15'), McGhee (23')
Mar 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
1-0
Aberdeen
McCowan (66' pen.)
McCowan (90+6'), Main (90+3')

McGrath (83')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
1-1
Dundee
Miovski (31' pen.)
McGrath (35'), Jensen (78')
Ashcroft (55')
Dodgson (18'), Boateng (23'), Beck (90')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
1-0
Dundee
Ferguson (73' pen.)
Besuijen (30')

Mulligan (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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