Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
47.89% ( 1.15) | 25.4% ( -0.05) | 26.71% ( -1.1) |
Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.93% ( -0.49) | 51.07% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.07% ( -0.43) | 72.93% ( 0.44) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( 0.31) | 21.34% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( 0.47) | 54.3% ( -0.47) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% ( -1.13) | 33.75% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% ( -1.24) | 70.41% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.89% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |