Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
50.92% ( -0.82) | 24.57% ( 0.22) | 24.51% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 52.68% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -0.34) | 49.34% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -0.31) | 71.39% ( 0.31) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.62% ( -0.46) | 19.38% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.82% ( -0.76) | 51.18% ( 0.76) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( 0.35) | 34.65% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.62% ( 0.37) | 71.37% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |