Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Motherwell

Armstrong (71'), Taylor (76')
Armstrong (83'), Power (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

van Veen (14')
O'Donnell (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	St Johnstone	4	-5	3
11	Dundee United	4	-7	1
12	Kilmarnock	4	-8	1

Motherwell

Last Six:

Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	4	7	10
3	Motherwell	4	2	9
4	Hearts	4	2	7

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Motherwell

The two sides head into this weekend's game in contrasting form, with Kilmarnock desperate to secure their first three points of the new season. The home crowd at Rugby Park are sure to spur McInnes's men on, but we feel that Motherwell will continue their strong start by claiming a slender away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
47.51% ( 0.07)	26.62% ( 0.01)	25.87% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.72% (

-0.08)

56.28% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

-0.06)

77.32% (

0.07)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29% (

23.71% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17% (

57.83%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

-0.11)

37.26% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

-0.11)

74.05% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 47.5%

Motherwell 25.87%

Draw 26.62%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.87%