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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Motherwell logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Motherwell

Armstrong (71'), Taylor (76')
Armstrong (83'), Power (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van Veen (14')
O'Donnell (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Motherwell

The two sides head into this weekend's game in contrasting form, with Kilmarnock desperate to secure their first three points of the new season. The home crowd at Rugby Park are sure to spur McInnes's men on, but we feel that Motherwell will continue their strong start by claiming a slender away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
47.51% (0.073 0.07) 26.62% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 25.87% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)56.28% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.064 -0.06)77.32% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.83%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-0.111 -0.11)37.26% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.11 -0.11)74.05% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 47.5%
    Motherwell 25.87%
    Draw 26.62%
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 25.87%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Motherwell
83.3%
12
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
4-1
Motherwell
Lafferty (1'), McKenzie (55'), Burke (57'), Pinnock (83')
McGowan (45'), Lafferty (58'), Power (72')
Maguire (8')
Roberts (42')
Feb 10, 2021 6pm
Dec 30, 2020 6.15pm
Motherwell
0-2
Kilmarnock

Crawford (56'), Campbell (63')
O'Hara (52')
Kiltie (41'), Whitehall (53' pen.)
Tshibola (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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