Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Ross County

Vassell (64')
Donnelly (28'), Vassell (86'), Leak (87'), Mayo (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ayina (38'), King (68'), Dhanda (86'), Polworth (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ross County

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Ross County
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Ross County

Matches between these two sides have produced rather even contests in recent years, but Kilmarnock have enjoyed three wins in the last five meetingso at Rugby Park, and we think they will win again in this one too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Ross County
66.6% ( -1.34)	19.01% ( 0.55)	14.39% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.19% (

-0.77)

39.81% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.83% (

-0.81)

62.16% (

0.8)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.91% (

-0.56)

11.09% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.53% (

-1.24)

35.47% (

1.24)

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94% (

0.63)

40.06% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

0.58)

76.7% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 66.6%

Ross County 14.39%

Draw 19.01%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Ross County
2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.6%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.01%	1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.76% Total : 14.39%