Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
61.25% ( 0.16) | 20.9% ( -0.05) | 17.84% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.21% ( 0.05) | 41.78% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.81% ( 0.05) | 64.18% ( -0.05) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.84% ( 0.06) | 13.16% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.15% ( 0.13) | 39.85% ( -0.13) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.06% ( -0.1) | 36.93% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( -0.1) | 73.72% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
2-0 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 17.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |