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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Ross County

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Ross County

Miovski (5'), McGrath (78')
Hoilett (45'), Gartenmann (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Murray (26')
Reid (9'), White (53'), Wickens (73'), Sheaf (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Ross County

Following some decent results of late and the Pittodrie crowd behind them, we are expecting Aberdeen to be at the races when Ross County come to town on Saturday. The Staggies have been impressive in recent matches, but we feel that the international break may have arrived at the wrong time for the Dingwall club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawRoss County
61.25% (0.16399999999999 0.16) 20.9% (-0.052 -0.05) 17.84% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)41.78% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.81% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.18% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.063999999999993 0.06)13.16% (-0.065 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (0.129 0.13)39.85% (-0.131 -0.13)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)36.93% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)73.72% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 61.25%
    Ross County 17.84%
    Draw 20.9%
AberdeenDrawRoss County
2-0 @ 10% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 61.25%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.84%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Ross County

Aberdeen
76.5%
Draw
23.5%
Ross County
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ross County
0-3
Aberdeen

Baldwin (39'), Leak (45'), Purrington (65'), Henderson (84'), Dhanda (87')
Baldwin (90+1')
McGrath (24', 30'), Miovski (80')
Polvara (47'), Barron (59'), Devlin (90+2')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Ross County
1-2
Aberdeen
Turner (83' pen.)
Murray (17'), Harmon (64'), Turner (71')
Baldwin (14')
Shinnie (8'), Sokler (80')
Barron (59'), Rubezic (84'), Sokler (88')
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Aberdeen
4-0
Ross County
Miovski (21', 52'), Lopes (42'), McGrath (47')

Brown (16'), Dhanda (38'), Leak (60'), Nightingale (68')
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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