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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Ross County

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Ross County

FT(HT: 0-0)
Murray (53')
Randall (33'), Murray (45+3'), Dhanda (66'), Reid (85'), Brown (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-2 Rangers
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Ross County

While there is not much to split these two teams in the league table it is Kilmarnock who have kickstarted the campaign stronger, and that should lead to them taking all three points this weekend. The poor defensive record of Ross County coupled with the fact that Killie have the home advantage could prove to be crucial in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
43.29% (-1.024 -1.02) 25.91% (0.264 0.26) 30.79% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 53.09% (-0.47 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (-0.786 -0.79)51.01% (0.788 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (-0.694 -0.69)72.87% (0.69499999999999 0.69)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.828 -0.83)23.43% (0.83 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-1.218 -1.22)57.43% (1.22 1.22)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.134 0.13)30.66% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.159 0.16)66.91% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.29%
    Ross County 30.79%
    Draw 25.91%
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.295 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.79%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Ross County

Kilmarnock
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Ross County
0.0%
8
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Kilmarnock
3-1
Ross County
Lyons (36'), Armstrong (49' pen.), Vassell (78')
Taylor (62'), Vassell (69'), Lyons (75'), McKenzie (90+5')
Dhanda (63' pen.)
Baldwin (26')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ross County
3-0
Kilmarnock
Brophy (13'), White (48'), Dhanda (63')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Ross County
1-0
Kilmarnock
Edwards (86')
Callachan (38'), Baldwin (62'), Cancola (78'), Johnson (90+4')
Callachan (81')

Lafferty (41'), Shaw (61'), Sotona (82'), Donnelly (88')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
2-2
Ross County
Burke (3'), Pinnock (16')
McKenzie (30'), Lafferty (70'), Power (85')
Gardyne (5'), Iacovitti (54')
Tillson (15'), Naismith (30'), Vigurs (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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