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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

Dennis (11' og.), McCowan (63' pen.)
Beck (39'), A (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (35')
Vassell (49'), Ndaba (67'), Deas (90+2'), van Veen (90+7'), van Veen (90+7')
Mayo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 7-1 Dundee
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-2 Rangers
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 1-2 Kilmarnock

With little between the two teams in the league this promises to be a closely fought contest, particularly since both are heading into the match on the back of defeats. Kilmarnock cannot afford another loss considering how close St Mirren are to them in the division, and they should have enough attacking quality to claim three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
46.24% (-0.365 -0.37) 24.9% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 28.87% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)47.61% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)69.82% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)20.64% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.228 -0.23)53.21% (0.232 0.23)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.26100000000001 0.26)30.3% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.31 0.31)66.47% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 46.24%
    Kilmarnock 28.87%
    Draw 24.89%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.87%

How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee
15.4%
Draw
23.1%
Kilmarnock
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
2-0
Dundee
Vassell (1'), Watkins (3')
Watkins (42')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-2
Dundee
Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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