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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Aberdeen logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Ndaba (45+5'), Kennedy (58')
Armstrong (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Warnock (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Aberdeen

Aberdeen have showcased a lot of attacking quality recently, and that should lead to them causing some problems for Kilmarnock this weekend. However, Kilmarnock should end up being too strong for the Dons in this match, which they have already proven twice this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aberdeen has a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Aberdeen win it is 0-1 (6.17%).

Result
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
56.36% (0.473 0.47) 23.17% (-0.219 -0.22) 20.47% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.92% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (0.599 0.6)47.83% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (0.547 0.55)70.01% (-0.544 -0.54)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (0.384 0.38)16.77% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (0.678 0.68)46.72% (-0.675 -0.67)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38% (0.085000000000001 0.09)37.62% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6% (0.081000000000003 0.08)74.4% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 56.35%
    Aberdeen 20.47%
    Draw 23.17%
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.47%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

Kilmarnock
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Aberdeen
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
0-1
Kilmarnock

Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')
Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Vassell (45+5'), Watkins (64')
Lyons (85')

Gartenmann (45+1'), Shinnie (45+3'), Sokler (89')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Aberdeen
2-0
Kilmarnock
Lopes (1', 59')
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
2-1
Aberdeen
Robinson (31'), Wright (42')
Kennedy (90+1')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
4-1
Kilmarnock
Besuijen (22'), Miovski (24' pen., 45'), Stewart (63')
Taylor (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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