Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
55.13% ( -0.06) | 24.5% ( 0.03) | 20.36% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.77% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.73% ( -0.1) | 53.27% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.18% ( -0.09) | 74.82% ( 0.08) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% ( -0.06) | 19.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.05% ( -0.1) | 50.95% ( 0.1) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.14% ( -0.04) | 40.85% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% ( -0.03) | 77.42% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |