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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Ross County

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Ross County

Armstrong (20')
Cameron (13'), Jones (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hiwula (40'), Dhanda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County

In a clash with ramifications at the bottom of the Scottish Premiership, we expect both sides to battle to the end to try and secure a vital win. On this occasion, Kilmarnock will just edge the affair and move further away from the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
55.13% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 24.5% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 20.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.77% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (-0.101 -0.1)53.27% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)74.82% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)19.24% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (-0.102 -0.1)50.95% (0.1 0.1)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)40.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.029 -0.03)77.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 55.12%
    Ross County 20.36%
    Draw 24.5%
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Ross County
1-0
Kilmarnock
Edwards (86')
Callachan (38'), Baldwin (62'), Cancola (78'), Johnson (90+4')
Callachan (81')

Lafferty (41'), Shaw (61'), Sotona (82'), Donnelly (88')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-2
Ross County
Burke (3'), Pinnock (16')
McKenzie (30'), Lafferty (70'), Power (85')
Gardyne (5'), Iacovitti (54')
Tillson (15'), Naismith (30'), Vigurs (61')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Ross County
3-2
Kilmarnock
Mckay (38', 49'), Hjelde (47')
Tillson (63'), Lakin (69')
Lafferty (18', 77')
Millen (27'), Lafferty (33')
Millen (90+4')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
3-1
Ross County
Brophy (14'), Kabamba (68' pen.), Burke (90+3')
McKenzie (90+1')
Findlay (8')
Grivosti (42')
Aug 12, 2020 7.45pm
Ross County
2-2
Kilmarnock
Draper (15'), Stewart (79' pen.)
Donaldson (34'), Vigurs (56'), Draper (67')
Power (59'), Burke (66')
Power (77'), Broadfoot (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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