Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
36.46% | 26.59% | 36.94% |
Both teams to score 52.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.31% | 52.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.67% | 74.33% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% | 63.46% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% | 27.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% | 63.1% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |