Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
26.7% ( -0.3) | 25.23% ( -0.15) | 48.08% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% ( 0.41) | 50.36% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% ( 0.36) | 72.3% ( -0.35) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.02) | 33.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% ( -0.03) | 70% ( 0.04) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.04% ( 0.37) | 20.97% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.28% ( 0.56) | 53.72% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.7% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |