Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
23.32% ( 0.02) | 24.58% ( 0) | 52.1% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( -0) | 50.47% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% | 72.4% ( -0) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.66% ( 0.01) | 36.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.87% ( 0.02) | 73.12% ( -0.02) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( -0.01) | 19.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( -0.02) | 51.12% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.32% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.97% Total : 52.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |