MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:32:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
St Johnstone logo

Hearts
3 - 0
St Johnstone

Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hallberg (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 3-1 St Johnstone

After a fortnight stewing over an uncharacteristically blunt display against Motherwell, we are backing Hearts to return to league action with a burning vengeance, taking out their frustrations on a St Johnstone side which could cause them problems, but not enough to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
56.13% (0.668 0.67) 22% (-0.269 -0.27) 21.88% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 57.91% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.749 0.75)40.88% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73% (0.761 0.76)63.27% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (0.471 0.47)14.43% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (0.906 0.91)42.37% (-0.91 -0.91)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.057999999999993 0.06)32.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.066000000000003 0.07)68.83% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 56.13%
    St Johnstone 21.88%
    Draw 21.99%
HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.062 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.06 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Johnstone

Hearts
89.5%
Draw
0.0%
St Johnstone
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
St Johnstone
2-3
Hearts
May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Carey (9')
Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Aug 28, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-2
St Johnstone
Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)
Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
2-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (46', 75')
Souttar (73'), Smith (89')

Cleary (60'), Davidson (70'), Gordon (90+3')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
St Johnstone
1-1
Hearts
Gordon (11')
Davidson (56'), May (67'), McCart (69'), Gordon (83')
Ginnelly (40')
Souttar (35'), Devlin (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!