Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32

Apr 15, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Easter Road

Hibernian
1 - 0
Hearts

Nisbet (67')
Egan Riley (10'), Johnson (11'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Cadden (61'), Newell (78'), Campbell (90+1'), Hanlon (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Naismith (0'), Devlin (20'), Atkinson (77'), Kingsley (89'), Sibbick (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, April 9 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Having both lost each of their last four league games, Hibernian and Hearts will be eager to stop the rot this weekend, so we can see the arch-rivals sharing the points in an entertaining Edinburgh derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	Hearts
45.93% ( 0.03)	23.06% ( 0.01)	31.01% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 63.06% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62% (

-0.1)

38% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.74% (

-0.11)

60.26% (

0.11)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-0.03)

16.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97% (

-0.05)

47.03% (

0.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.08)

24.06% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

-0.11)

58.34% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Hibernian 45.93%

Hearts 31.01%

Draw 23.06%

Hibernian	Draw	Hearts
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.01%