Alcorcon

1 - 2

Real Valladolid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.