Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
UD Ibiza	Draw	Real Valladolid
29.57% ( -0.02)	25.75% ( 0.02)	44.68% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.98% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.13% (

-0.08)

50.87% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.25% (

-0.07)

72.75% (

0.07)

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54% (

-0.06)

31.46% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.16% (

-0.07)

67.84% (

0.07)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

-0.03)

22.71% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-0.05)

56.37% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

UD Ibiza 29.57%

Real Valladolid 44.67%

Draw 25.75%

UD Ibiza	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.57%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.67%