Almeria

3 - 1

Real Valladolid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.