Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.