Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.12%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.