Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.4%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.