Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.