Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.