Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.