Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (13.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Numancia would win this match.