Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
59.14% | 21.65% | 19.21% |
Both teams to score 54.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% | 42.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.62% | 65.38% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.82% | 14.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.11% | 41.88% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.86% | 36.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% | 72.92% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6.48% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.14% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
20 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
> Serie A Full Table |