Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
