Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
37.11% | 24.96% | 37.92% |
Both teams to score 57.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% | 45.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.2% | 67.8% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% | 24.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% | 58.42% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% | 23.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.19% | 57.8% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 8.32% 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |