Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
20.48% | 22.46% | 57.07% |
Both teams to score 54.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.25% | 44.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.89% | 67.11% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% | 35.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% | 15.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.7% | 44.3% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 5.68% 2-1 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.48% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |