
Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo

Napoli3 - 1Lazio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
45.17% | 24.41% | 30.43% |
Both teams to score 57.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% | 44.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% | 66.99% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% | 19.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.99% | 52.01% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% | 27.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% | 63.26% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli 45.17%
Lazio 30.43%
Draw 24.41%
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-1 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.43% |
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-1
Lazio
Aug 18, 2018 7.30pm
Feb 10, 2018 7.45pm