Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Napoli3 - 1Lazio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 45.17% | 24.41% | 30.43% |
| Both teams to score 57.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
