Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 9, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Benevento
1 - 4
Atalanta

Sau (50')
Foulon (24'), Lapadula (53'), Dabo (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ilicic (30'), Toloi (69'), Zapata (71'), Muriel (86')
de Roon (17'), Luis Palomino (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Benevento and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-3 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Benevento win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Benevento	Draw	Atalanta BC
15.37%	17.82%	66.8%

Both teams to score 60.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.25%

31.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.72%

53.28%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4%

33.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75%

70.25%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.18%

8.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.75%

30.25%

Score Analysis

Benevento 15.37%

Atalanta BC 66.8%

Draw 17.82%

Benevento	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.28% 1-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.89% 2-0 @ 1.76% 3-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.65% Total : 15.37%	1-1 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 2.97% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.82%	1-2 @ 9.53% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 7.71% 0-1 @ 7.2% 0-3 @ 7.07% 1-4 @ 4.68% 0-4 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 4.21% 2-4 @ 2.55% 1-5 @ 2.27% 0-5 @ 2.09% 2-5 @ 1.24% 3-4 @ 0.93% 1-6 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.37% Total : 66.8%