Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Crotone |
39.06% | 25.29% | 35.65% |
Both teams to score 56.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% | 47.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% | 69.33% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% | 23.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% | 58% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% | 25.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% | 60.59% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Crotone |
1-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 39.06% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |