Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Dec 19, 2020 at 5pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
3 - 1
Crotone

Damsgaard (26'), Jankto (36'), Quagliarella (65')
Colley (30'), Ekdal (49')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Simy (45+1' pen.)
Messias (45+2'), Marrone (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Crotone
39.06%	25.29%	35.65%

Both teams to score 56.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91%

47.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67%

69.33%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18%

23.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42%

58%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32%

25.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41%

60.59%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 39.06%

Crotone 35.65%

Draw 25.29%

Sampdoria	Draw	Crotone
1-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 39.06%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.65%