Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli2 - 0Cremonese
We said: Empoli 0-0 Cremonese
Two of Cremonese's last three matches have finished goalless, and we can envisage that same scoreline occurring once again on Friday night. Empoli have struggled for goals themselves in recent weeks, but they have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three home games and should prove tough to beat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
39.53% ( -0.64) | 25.43% ( 0.14) | 35.04% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.56) | 47.8% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( -0.51) | 69.99% ( 0.51) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.57) | 23.9% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.9% ( -0.83) | 58.1% ( 0.83) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( 0.03) | 26.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.48% ( 0.04) | 61.52% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 39.53%
Cremonese 35.04%
Draw 25.43%
| Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.04% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Cremonese
Empoli
63.7%Draw
27.4%Cremonese
8.9%124
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2021 3pm
Cremonese
2-2
Empoli
Mancuso (8', 65')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Dec 3, 2019 2pm
Oct 20, 2019 8pm
