Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
We said: Cremonese 1-3 Napoli
Even if Spalletti takes the opportunity to rotate his squad a little, amid a packed autumn schedule, Napoli possess more than enough guile and precision to see off a limited Cremonese side on Sunday evening.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67% . A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%) . The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result Cremonese Draw Napoli 21.95% ( 1.34) 22.38% ( 0.45) 55.67% ( -1.78)
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.49)
57.44% ( -0.3) 42.56% ( 0.3)
35.04% ( -0.29) 64.96% ( 0.3)
66.8% ( 1.1) 33.2% ( -1.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.19% ( 1.2) 69.81% ( -1.19)
84.84% ( -0.68) 15.16% ( 0.68)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.24% ( -1.3) 43.75% ( 1.3)
Cremonese 21.95%
Napoli 55.67%
Draw 22.38%
Cremonese Draw Napoli 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95% 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38% 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67%
How you voted: Cremonese vs Napoli
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LT: 2024-06-30 21:35:12
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