Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | AC Milan |
17.55% ( 0.61) | 20.02% ( 0.19) | 62.42% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 57.28% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.8% ( 0.25) | 38.19% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% ( 0.27) | 60.47% ( -0.27) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% ( 0.85) | 35.1% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% ( 0.89) | 71.85% ( -0.89) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.27% ( -0.15) | 11.72% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.14% ( -0.31) | 36.85% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.66% Total : 17.55% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.76% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.14% Total : 62.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |