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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Cremonese

Spezia
2 - 2
Cremonese

N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61'), Caldara (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 2-1 Cremonese

Despite there not being a great deal separating the two sides, Spezia have been impressive at home this season, undefeated at Stadio Alberto Picco so far. As such, we expect them to do just enough to get the three points in this one, particularly given the fact that Cremonese are yet to win a game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawCremonese
40.9% (0.879 0.88) 27.19% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 31.91% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (0.148 0.15)55.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (0.122 0.12)76.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.553 0.55)26.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.722 0.72)62.05% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.47 -0.47)32.29% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.535 -0.54)68.79% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.9%
    Cremonese 31.91%
    Draw 27.18%
SpeziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cremonese

Spezia
78.3%
Draw
15.2%
Cremonese
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia

Terranova (68'), Gaetano (77'), Crescenzi (80')
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Maggiore (56'), Di Gaudio (72'), N'Zola (84')
Ricci (30'), Capradossi (39')
Claiton (27'), Parigini (87')
Deli (41'), Piccolo (55'), Gustafson (73'), Ravanelli (90')
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
Spezia
2-0
Cremonese
Bartolomei (21', 53')
Vignali (81')

Arini (40'), Strizzolo (66')
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Terranova (16' pen.), Brighenti (21')

Ricci (28'), Terzi (72')
Apr 28, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Cremonese
Maggiore (87')
Terzi (31'), Masi (70'), Lopez (90')
Lopez (90')

Cinaglia (26'), Pesce (47'), Canini (67'), Castrovilli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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