Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 2
Cremonese

N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61'), Caldara (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite there not being a great deal separating the two sides, Spezia have been impressive at home this season, undefeated at Stadio Alberto Picco so far. As such, we expect them to do just enough to get the three points in this one, particularly given the fact that Cremonese are yet to win a game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Cremonese
40.9% ( 0.88)	27.19% ( -0.09)	31.91% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.29% (

0.15)

55.71% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14% (

0.12)

76.85% (

-0.12)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

0.55)

26.77% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

0.72)

62.05% (

-0.72)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.47)

32.29% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.54)

68.79% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Spezia 40.9%

Cremonese 31.91%

Draw 27.18%

Spezia	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.91%