Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Empoli |
68.03% ( -0.07) | 18.54% ( 0.03) | 13.42% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.28% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.18% ( -0.05) | 39.81% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.82% ( -0.05) | 62.17% ( 0.04) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.28% ( -0.03) | 10.72% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.34% ( -0.06) | 34.65% ( 0.06) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.55% ( 0.03) | 41.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% ( 0.02) | 77.95% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 4.26% Total : 68.02% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |