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Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Atalanta logo

Empoli
0 - 2
Atalanta


De Winter (37'), Destro (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
Hateboer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Empoli
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, October 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Atalanta BC

 An aberration against Juve aside, Empoli have proved a tough nut to crack for many teams this term, having drawn five times so far. With home advantage, too, the Azzurri can hold Atalanta at bay for long spells and should grind out another valuable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
20.01% (0.311 0.31) 21.94% (0.0040000000000013 0) 58.04% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.501 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (0.416 0.42)43.11% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (0.41099999999999 0.41)65.51% (-0.41300000000001 -0.41)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.559 0.56)35.38% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.578 0.58)72.14% (-0.58 -0.58)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (0.036000000000001 0.04)14.57% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (0.072000000000003 0.07)42.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 20.01%
    Atalanta BC 58.04%
    Draw 21.93%
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 5.36% (0.072 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.01%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.076 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.93%
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 9.56% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 58.04%

How you voted: Empoli vs Atalanta

Empoli
15.0%
Draw
15.9%
Atalanta BC
69.0%
113
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli

Luis Palomino (19')

Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
Nov 25, 2018 2pm
Empoli
3-2
Atalanta
La Gumina (42'), Masiello (77' og.), Silvestre (90')
Veseli (24'), Maietta (67')
Freuler (33'), Hateboer (40')
Masiello (38'), Gosens (69'), Ilicic (84')
Ilicic (84')
May 21, 2017 2pm
Empoli
0-1
Atalanta

Pasqual (24'), Buechel (29'), El Kaddouri (70')
Gomez
Conti (24'), Masiello (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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