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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Atalanta logo

Empoli
0 - 2
Atalanta


De Winter (37'), Destro (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
Hateboer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Empoli
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, October 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Atalanta BC

An aberration against Juve aside, Empoli have proved a tough nut to crack for many teams this term, having drawn five times so far. With home advantage, too, the Azzurri can hold Atalanta at bay for long spells and should grind out another valuable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
20.01% (0.311 0.31) 21.94% (0.0040000000000013 0) 58.04% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.501 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (0.416 0.42)43.11% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (0.41099999999999 0.41)65.51% (-0.41300000000001 -0.41)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.559 0.56)35.38% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.578 0.58)72.14% (-0.58 -0.58)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (0.036000000000001 0.04)14.57% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (0.072000000000003 0.07)42.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 20.01%
    Atalanta BC 58.04%
    Draw 21.93%
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 5.36% (0.072 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.01%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.076 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.93%
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 9.56% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 58.04%

How you voted: Empoli vs Atalanta

Empoli
15.0%
Draw
15.9%
Atalanta BC
69.0%
113
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli

Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
Nov 25, 2018 2pm
Empoli
3-2
Atalanta
La Gumina (42'), Masiello (77' og.), Silvestre (90')
Veseli (24'), Maietta (67')
Freuler (33'), Hateboer (40')
Masiello (38'), Gosens (69'), Ilicic (84')
Ilicic (84')
May 21, 2017 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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