Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
20.01% ( 0.31) | 21.94% ( 0) | 58.04% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.89% ( 0.42) | 43.11% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.49% ( 0.41) | 65.51% ( -0.41) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.62% ( 0.56) | 35.38% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.86% ( 0.58) | 72.14% ( -0.58) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.42% ( 0.04) | 14.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.36% ( 0.07) | 42.64% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.01% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |