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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (34')
Mkhitaryan (67'), Acerbi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalulu (32'), Gabbia (49'), Leao (62'), Giroud (84'), Rebic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atalanta
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-5 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 29 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

 Such has been Milan's collapse over recent weeks, it is hard to see them rallying for the Derby della Madonnina and preventing an Inter victory. While not quite the finished article, the Nerazzurri are more likely to win the midfield battle and boast plenty of possible goalscorers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
50.53% (-0.281 -0.28) 23.78% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 25.68% (0.202 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.41% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.168 -0.17)44.98% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.159 -0.16)67.33% (0.15899999999999 0.16)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)17.85% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38% (-0.293 -0.29)48.62% (0.292 0.29)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (0.072999999999993 0.07)31.32% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (0.086000000000006 0.09)67.68% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 50.53%
    AC Milan 25.68%
    Draw 23.78%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.53%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.68%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
79.8%
Draw
9.6%
AC Milan
10.6%
198
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Final
AC Milan
0-3
Inter Milan

Hernandez (77'), Tonali (85')
Dimarco (10'), Dzeko (21'), Martinez (77')
Barella (33'), Calhanoglu (72'), Martinez (79')
Sep 3, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
3-2
Inter Milan
Leao (28', 60'), Giroud (54')
Hernandez (9'), Giroud (32'), De Ketelaere (51'), Tonali (77'), Leao (90+4')
Brozovic (21'), Dzeko (67')
Dumfries (9'), Brozovic (39'), Inzaghi (71')
Apr 19, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Inter Milan
3-0
AC Milan
Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
AC Milan
0-0
Inter Milan

Brozovic (33'), Martinez (58')
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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