Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana1 - 2AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Salernitana
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan
Milan must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Napoli at a key stage of the season, and we are expecting the reigning champions to navigate their way to an important three points on Wednesday, but they might have to suffer for stages of the contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
21.36% ( 1.16) | 21.39% ( 0.07) | 57.25% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( 1.27) | 38.73% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( 1.32) | 61.03% ( -1.32) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( 1.82) | 31.58% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.02% ( 2.04) | 67.98% ( -2.04) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( 0.05) | 13.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.73% ( 0.09) | 40.27% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Salernitana 21.36%
AC Milan 57.25%
Draw 21.39%
| Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.62% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.49)0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.25% |
How you voted: Salernitana vs AC Milan
Salernitana
11.3%Draw
13.5%AC Milan
75.2%133
Form Guide
