Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
21.36% (![]() | 21.39% (![]() | 57.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% (![]() | 38.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.96% (![]() | 61.03% (![]() |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.42% (![]() | 31.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.02% (![]() | 67.98% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.63% (![]() | 13.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.73% (![]() | 40.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 5.64% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.85% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |