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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
San Siro
Sampdoria logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Eleven goals in their last three games - including 30 minutes of Coppa Italia final extra time - suggests that Inter are holding nothing back in their pursuit of the double. It would take an improbable turn of events for Sampdoria to deprive them of three points on Sunday, so they will take care of business at San Siro and await news from Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium with bated breath. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
82.2% (0.395 0.39) 12.02% (-0.068 -0.07) 5.79% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 43.78% (-1.96 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-1.273 -1.27)33.47% (1.275 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-1.47 -1.47)55.26% (1.472 1.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.91% (-0.178 -0.18)6.09% (0.1791 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.87% (-0.501 -0.5)23.13% (0.503 0.5)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.62% (-1.994 -1.99)53.38% (1.996 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.11% (-1.287 -1.29)86.89% (1.288 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.18%
    Sampdoria 5.79%
    Draw 12.02%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.72% (0.58 0.58)
3-0 @ 11.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.506 0.51)
4-0 @ 8.31% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 5.22% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 4.65% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.199 -0.2)
6-0 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.159 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 82.18%
1-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.02%
0-1 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 5.79%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Sampdoria

Inter Milan
82.9%
Draw
9.8%
Sampdoria
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter Milan
Yoshida (32'), Augello (47')
Thorsby (35'), Bereszynski (67'), Colley (82'), Silva (88')
Dimarco (18'), Martinez (44')
Brozovic (22'), Dzeko (89'), Correa (90'), Vidal (90+3')
May 8, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Gagliardini (4'), Sanchez (26', 36'), Pinamonti (61'), Martinez (70' pen.)
Balde (35')
Tonelli (31'), Silva (68')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter Milan
Candreva (23' pen.), Balde (38')
Thorsby (57'), Balde (84'), Askildsen (85')
De Vrij (65')
Martinez (16'), Barella (23'), de Vrij (40'), Hakimi (90+1')
Jun 21, 2020 8.45pm
Sep 28, 2019 5pm
Sampdoria
1-3
Inter Milan
Jankto (55')
Rigoni (16'), Linetty (33')
Sensi (20'), Sanchez (22'), Gagliardini (61')
Bastoni (10'), Sanchez (43'), Skriniar (81')
Sanchez (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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