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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
San Siro
Sampdoria logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Eleven goals in their last three games - including 30 minutes of Coppa Italia final extra time - suggests that Inter are holding nothing back in their pursuit of the double. It would take an improbable turn of events for Sampdoria to deprive them of three points on Sunday, so they will take care of business at San Siro and await news from Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium with bated breath. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
82.2% (0.395 0.39) 12.02% (-0.068 -0.07) 5.79% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 43.78% (-1.96 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-1.273 -1.27)33.47% (1.275 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-1.47 -1.47)55.26% (1.472 1.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.91% (-0.178 -0.18)6.09% (0.1791 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.87% (-0.501 -0.5)23.13% (0.503 0.5)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.62% (-1.994 -1.99)53.38% (1.996 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.11% (-1.287 -1.29)86.89% (1.288 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.18%
    Sampdoria 5.79%
    Draw 12.02%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.72% (0.58 0.58)
3-0 @ 11.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.506 0.51)
4-0 @ 8.31% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 5.22% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 4.65% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.199 -0.2)
6-0 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.159 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 82.18%
1-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.02%
0-1 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 5.79%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Sampdoria

Inter Milan
82.9%
Draw
9.8%
Sampdoria
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter Milan
Yoshida (32'), Augello (47')
Thorsby (35'), Bereszynski (67'), Colley (82'), Silva (88')
Dimarco (18'), Martinez (44')
Brozovic (22'), Dzeko (89'), Correa (90'), Vidal (90+3')
May 8, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Gagliardini (4'), Sanchez (26', 36'), Pinamonti (61'), Martinez (70' pen.)
Balde (35')
Tonelli (31'), Silva (68')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter Milan
Candreva (23' pen.), Balde (38')
Thorsby (57'), Balde (84'), Askildsen (85')
De Vrij (65')
Martinez (16'), Barella (23'), de Vrij (40'), Hakimi (90+1')
Jun 21, 2020 8.45pm
Sep 28, 2019 5pm
Sampdoria
1-3
Inter Milan
Jankto (55')
Rigoni (16'), Linetty (33')
Sensi (20'), Sanchez (22'), Gagliardini (61')
Bastoni (10'), Sanchez (43'), Skriniar (81')
Sanchez (46')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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