Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
82.2% ( 0.39) | 12.02% ( -0.07) | 5.79% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 43.78% ( -1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.53% ( -1.27) | 33.47% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.74% ( -1.47) | 55.26% ( 1.47) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.91% ( -0.18) | 6.09% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.87% ( -0.5) | 23.13% ( 0.5) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.62% ( -1.99) | 53.38% ( 2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.11% ( -1.29) | 86.89% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.58) 3-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.53% Total : 82.18% | 1-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.02% | 0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |