Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
San Siro
We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria
Eleven goals in their last three games - including 30 minutes of Coppa Italia final extra time - suggests that Inter are holding nothing back in their pursuit of the double.
It would take an improbable turn of events for Sampdoria to deprive them of three points on Sunday, so they will take care of business at San Siro and await news from Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium with bated breath.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2% . A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79% .
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%) , while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result Inter Milan Draw Sampdoria 82.2% ( 0.39) 12.02% ( -0.07) 5.79% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 43.78% ( -1.96)
66.53% ( -1.27) 33.47% ( 1.28)
44.74% ( -1.47) 55.26% ( 1.47)
93.91% ( -0.18) 6.09% ( 0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 76.87% ( -0.5) 23.13% ( 0.5)
46.62% ( -1.99) 53.38% ( 2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 13.11% ( -1.29) 86.89% ( 1.29)
Inter Milan 82.18%
Sampdoria 5.79%
Draw 12.02%
Inter Milan Draw Sampdoria 2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.58) 3-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.53% Total : 82.18% 1-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.02% 0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 5.79%
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Sampdoria
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rhs 2.0
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