Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 23, 2022 at 5pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Roma

Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Roma are the Serie A side with the most different players to have scored at least twice this term (12) - closely followed by Inter (11) - but Tammy Abraham remains their greatest threat to the champions. They have also been more sure-footed defensively in recent weeks, with fit-again Chris Smalling to the fore, so Mourinho can throw a spanner in the works by restricting his old employers to a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Roma had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Roma
60.14%	21.18%	18.68%

Both teams to score 55.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.34%

41.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.94%

64.06%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54%

13.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.56%

40.43%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06%

35.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29%

72.71%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 60.14%

Roma 18.68%

Draw 21.18%

Inter Milan	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.7% 3-1 @ 6.66% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.34% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.23% Total : 60.14%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.18%	1-2 @ 5.08% 0-1 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.68%