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Juventus logo
Coppa Italia | Final
May 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Inter Milan
2 - 4
Juventus

Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Juventus (after extra time)

 Although there will be plenty of attacking talent on display at the Olimpico, both coaches can be risk-averse on the big occasion, so this should be a final decided by a one-goal margin. In fact, the evening could well end in penalties, but reigning Coppa champions Juve may have a late surprise in their armoury; taking vengeance for recent defeats to Inter with victory after 120 minutes of intense combat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
33.53%26.55%39.92%
Both teams to score 52.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16%52.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54%74.45%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25%29.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19%65.81%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01%60.99%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 33.53%
    Juventus 39.91%
    Draw 26.55%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.53%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.91%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Inter Milan
45.7%
Draw
29.0%
Juventus
25.3%
162
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
0-1
Inter Milan

Rabiot (15'), Locatelli (27'), Morata (45+1'), Cuadrado (45+4')
Calhanoglu (45+5' pen.)
Martinez (2'), Skriniar (45+4'), Perisic (75'), Calhanoglu (76')
Jan 12, 2022 8pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Juventus
Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')
McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-1
Juventus
Dzeko (17')
Barella (40'), Perisic (71')
Inzaghi (89')
Dybala (89' pen.)
Sandro (44'), Chiellini (90+5')
May 15, 2021 5pm
Juventus
3-2
Inter Milan
Ronaldo (24'), Cuadrado (45+3', 88' pen.)
Kulusevski (13'), Bentancur (20'), Chiellini (85'), Cuadrado (90')
Bentancur (55')
Lukaku (35' pen.), Chiellini (83' og.)
Darmian (23'), Martinez (74'), Bastoni (77'), Brozovic (88')
Brozovic (90+2')
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
0-0
Inter Milan

Sandro (25')

Darmian (13'), Perisic (65'), Brozovic (73')
rhs 2.0
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