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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Monza

Sampdoria
0 - 3
Monza


Murillo (18'), Bereszynski (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pessina (11'), Caprari (67'), Sensi (90+4')
Pessina (45+1'), Mota (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-1 Monza

Given both sides' failings in the final third, goals may not flow freely, but the chance to take three points off likely relegation rivals may bring them out of their shells. With the feelgood factor still in play, Monza can extend their unbeaten run to a third game; leaving Samp still seeking their first win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawMonza
32.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.28% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.004999999999999 0)76.5% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)31.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.88% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 32.74%
    Monza 40.12%
    Draw 27.13%
SampdoriaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.12%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Monza

Sampdoria
46.6%
Draw
41.1%
Monza
12.3%
73
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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