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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Monza

Sampdoria
0 - 3
Monza


Murillo (18'), Bereszynski (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pessina (11'), Caprari (67'), Sensi (90+4')
Pessina (45+1'), Mota (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-1 Monza

Given both sides' failings in the final third, goals may not flow freely, but the chance to take three points off likely relegation rivals may bring them out of their shells. With the feelgood factor still in play, Monza can extend their unbeaten run to a third game; leaving Samp still seeking their first win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawMonza
32.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.28% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.004999999999999 0)76.5% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)31.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.88% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 32.74%
    Monza 40.12%
    Draw 27.13%
SampdoriaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.12%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Monza

Sampdoria
46.6%
Draw
41.1%
Monza
12.3%
73
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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