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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Sampdoria logo

Spezia
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Murillo (12' og.), N'Zola (72')
Bastoni (42'), Kovalenko (59'), Egill Ellertsson (89'), N'Zola (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sabiri (11')
Ferrari (23'), Villar (43'), Leris (69'), Duricic (78'), Murillo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria

With only one win between them, confidence is low in both camps. As Spezia (10) and Sampdoria (18) are also two of the three teams with the fewest shots on target this term, expect a low-scoring Ligurian derby in which the spoils are shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
45.6% (1.622 1.62) 28.61% (0.521 0.52) 25.79% (-2.138 -2.14)
Both teams to score 42.55% (-2.698 -2.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.96% (-2.701 -2.7)63.05% (2.706 2.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.5% (-2.001 -2)82.5% (2.005 2.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.431 -0.43)27.73% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.559 -0.56)63.29% (0.563 0.56)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (-3.359 -3.36)41.13% (3.364 3.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (-3.126 -3.13)77.67% (3.131 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 45.6%
    Sampdoria 25.79%
    Draw 28.6%
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 14.62% (1.24 1.24)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.692 0.69)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.4% (1.1 1.1)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.417 -0.42)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 10.13% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.572 -0.57)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria

Spezia
45.8%
Draw
37.3%
Sampdoria
16.9%
83
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Sampdoria
Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Sampdoria
2-2
Spezia
Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')
Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')
Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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