Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
17.61% ( -0.19) | 21.97% ( -0.22) | 60.42% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( 0.61) | 46.87% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( 0.56) | 69.12% ( -0.56) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.77% ( 0.13) | 40.23% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.14% ( 0.12) | 76.86% ( -0.11) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.93% ( 0.34) | 15.07% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.42% ( 0.63) | 43.59% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |