Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
We said: Juventus 1-1 Lazio
Should they lose to Lazio, this will be just the second Serie A season in which Juventus have taken fewer points on home soil than when playing away, which demonstrates their faded aura of invincibility in Turin. The visitors - second-top scorers in Serie A this term - should have little fear of failure, given the state they find their opponents in, but are too defensively flaky to guarantee any more than a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
49.39% ( -0.15) | 25.11% ( -0.01) | 25.49% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
